Vikings vs Packers Prediction and Odds: Cousins Starts, Packers -2.5
The Green Bay Packers are 2.5-point favorites over the Minnesota Vikings at five of six books on SportsbookReview as of early Saturday, November 14, 2026, with the total at 42 to 42.5. That points to about Packers 22.5, Vikings 20. Kickoff is Sunday at 1:00 PM ET on FOX from Lambeau Field.
Kevin O'Connell confirmed Friday that Kirk Cousins will start, five days after Minnesota reacquired him from the Raiders, per ESPN. Green Bay has ruled out running back Josh Jacobs and edge rusher Micah Parsons, per the Vikings' official injury report.
Vikings vs Packers odds at every book
| Book | Spread | Moneyline (MIN / GB) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | GB -2.5 (-125) | +130 / -155 | 42 |
| bet365 | GB -2.5 (-120) | +129 / -154 | 42.5 |
| FanDuel | GB -2.5 (-130) | +130 / -154 | 42.5 |
| Fanatics | GB -2.5 (-120) | +130 / -155 | 42 |
| BetRivers | GB -3.5 (+102) | +128 / -157 | 41.5 |
| Caesars | GB -2.5 (-132) | +134 / -159 | 42 |
We left DraftKings out of the table because its NFL column on SportsbookReview has been stale at times this season. Five books have Green Bay -2.5 at prices from -120 to -132, and BetRivers deals -3.5 at plus money, so the market sits close to 3.
If you like Green Bay, bet365 and Fanatics have -2.5 at -120. If you like Minnesota, BetRivers has +3.5. The line opened at Packers -3 and 63% of spread tickets are on Green Bay. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.
Vikings vs Packers prediction from the odds
That gives the market's prediction as Packers 22.5, Vikings 20. With heavy juice on -2.5 and BetRivers at -3.5, the market is closer to Green Bay by 3.
| Source | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Market | Packers by 2.5 to 3 | 42 |
| Prediction Tracker median | Packers by 3 (std dev 3.2) | Not listed |
| Massey Ratings | Packers 20, Vikings 17 | 37 |
Both systems land on Green Bay by 3, right on the market. Massey's 37-point total is five points under the books, but one system is not enough for a total, and Green Bay's missing starters cut both ways.
How the Vikings and Packers got here
Minnesota is 6-2 after a 6-0 start, with two straight losses. Carson Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards with three turnovers in Monday night's loss to Buffalo, per NFL.com, which is why the Vikings traded a 2027 third-round pick for Cousins.
Green Bay is 6-3 and beat New England 45-27 last week. Minnesota won the first meeting 39-22 in Week 1, per FOX Sports.
Vikings vs Packers injury report
| Player | Team | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins, QB | Vikings | Starting (O'Connell, Friday) |
| Kyler Murray, QB | Vikings | Out (hamstring) |
| T.J. Hockenson, TE | Vikings | Out (wrist, chest) |
| Jauan Jennings, WR | Vikings | Out (calf) |
| Blake Cashman, LB | Vikings | Out (concussion) |
| Jordan Addison, WR | Vikings | Questionable (thumb) |
| Josh Jacobs, RB | Packers | Out (finger) |
| Micah Parsons, LB | Packers | Out (knee, illness) |
| Sean Rhyan, C | Packers | Out (ankle) |
| Zaire Franklin, OLB | Packers | Doubtful (shin) |
| Xavier McKinney, S | Packers | Questionable (foot) |
These are Friday's final designations, per the Vikings' official injury report. Green Bay also lists Kevin Zeitler, Javon Bullard, Chris Brooks and Lukas Van Ness as questionable, and seven Packers starters are out or questionable, per SI.
No lean on this game.
Our projection is Packers by 3, the same as the tracker and Massey, so there is no edge on the spread even with Cousins confirmed.
Situation: Green Bay is at home after a win but missing Jacobs and Parsons; Minnesota has had its new quarterback for less than a week and is without Hockenson and Jennings.
We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. Our free plays are on the free picks page, and our full card is on premium picks.
For every Week 10 game, see our NFL Week 10 preview. Other games we broke down this week: Patriots vs Lions, Chiefs vs Falcons, Steelers vs Bengals on Sunday night and Chargers vs Ravens on Monday night.