Steelers vs Bengals Prediction: Sunday Night Football Odds and Our Read
The Cincinnati Bengals are 3.5-point favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football in Week 10, with the total at 49.5, as of Saturday, November 14, 2026, 3:00 AM ET. That line implies a final around Bengals 26.5, Steelers 23.
Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET Sunday, November 15, at Paycor Stadium on NBC and Peacock. Both teams are 6-2 and on four-game winning streaks, and the winner leads the AFC North.
Steelers vs Bengals odds at every book
| Book | Spread | Moneyline (PIT / CIN) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opener | Bengals -4 (-108) | +160 / -190 | 48.5 |
| BetMGM | Bengals -3.5 (-108) | +155 / -190 | 49.5 |
| bet365 | Bengals -3.5 (-106) | +157 / -187 | 49.5 |
| DraftKings | Bengals -3.5 (-110) | +154 / -185 | 49.5 |
| FanDuel | Bengals -3.5 (-110) | +150 / -178 | 49.5 |
| Fanatics | Bengals -3.5 (-105) | +155 / -190 | 49.5 |
| BetRivers | Bengals -3.5 (-112) | +155 / -195 | 49.5 |
| Caesars | Bengals -3.5 (-106) | +154 / -182 | 49.5 |
Lines are from SportsbookReview's Week 10 board, cross-checked against SI's opening odds (Bengals -3.5 at -118, total 48.5) and the Prediction Tracker's line. The best Steelers price is +157 at bet365.
Every book now has the total at 49.5, and 63% of total tickets are on the Over. Our free plays for the week are on the free picks page.
Steelers vs Bengals prediction from the odds
| Source | Projection | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market (FanDuel) | Bengals 26.5, Steelers 23 | Bengals 3.5 | 49.5 |
| Prediction Tracker median | Bengals by 3.9 (sd 2.2) | Bengals 3.9 | Not used |
| Massey Ratings | Bengals 27, Steelers 24 | Bengals 3 | 49.5 |
The computer ratings agree with the market: the tracker median is 0.4 points past the line on Cincinnati and Massey is 0.5 points short of it. Massey's total is also 49.5.
A game priced this efficiently by the models is one we pass on the side and the total.
Aaron Rodgers vs Joe Burrow
Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers won the Week 3 meeting 30-27 in Pittsburgh, sealed by a Derrick Harmon strip-sack of Joe Burrow, per SI. That win gives Pittsburgh the tiebreaker for now.
Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins put up 34 points on Atlanta in Madrid.
Friday's final injury report is light. Pittsburgh lists only defensive tackle Derrick Harmon (foot) as questionable, and every Steeler practiced fully Friday, per Steelers Depot. Cincinnati ruled out safety Kyle Dugger and lists Jalen Davis, Andrei Iosivas and Brian Parker II as doubtful as they work back from injured reserve, per the Steelers' official site.
How the Steelers and Bengals got here
| Team | Record | Last game | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 6-2 | Week 9 bye | Four straight wins |
| Bengals | 6-2 | W 34-17 vs Falcons (Madrid) | Four straight wins |
Teams coming home from an international game are 0-5 against opponents coming off a bye, per CBS Sports. Cincinnati is the sixth team to try it.
Pittsburgh is 12-4 on the road against Cincinnati since 2010, per SI.
NO LEAN on Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati, as of Saturday, November 14, 2026, 3:00 AM ET.
The market says Bengals by 3.5, the tracker median 3.9 and Massey 3. The travel spot leans Pittsburgh and the models lean slightly Cincinnati, and none of it moves the number enough to play.
We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. See the premium picks page for our card.