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Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction and Odds: Week 7 2026

Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction and Odds: Week 7 2026

The Third Saturday in October comes with a quarterback question in Knoxville. No. 6 Alabama is a 7.5-point favorite at No. 14 Tennessee at every major book as of Friday night, October 16, 2026, and the total has dropped from 54.5 to 50.5 to 51. Faizon Brandon (shoulder) was questionable on Wednesday and Thursday and came off Friday's SEC availability report, but multiple reports say George MacIntyre is expected to start, and Tennessee has not announced it. Turn the DraftKings numbers into a score and the betting market's Alabama vs Tennessee prediction is Alabama 29, Tennessee 21.5.

The market call
Built from Alabama -7.5 and DraftKings' 50.5 total, the implied final is Alabama 29, Tennessee 21.5. With the margin removed, the DraftKings moneylines (Alabama -340, Tennessee +270) give Alabama a 74.1% chance to win, as of Friday night, October 16, 2026. This is a read of the prices, not a handicapped pick.
ALA -7.5
Spread at all 7 books
Opened -7
50.5
Total at 4 of 7 books
51 at three; opened 54.5
74.1%
Alabama win chance
DraftKings, vig removed
29-21.5
Implied final
Alabama over Tennessee

Alabama vs Tennessee odds at every book

Here is the board for Alabama at Tennessee on Saturday, October 17, 2026, as of Friday night, October 16, 2026. Every book has Alabama -7.5. The total is 50.5 at BetMGM, bet365, DraftKings and FanDuel and 51 at Fanatics, BetRivers and Caesars. Tennessee bettors get the best moneyline at DraftKings (+270). The board was checked against ScoresAndOdds; compare books on our sportsbooks page.

Alabama at Tennessee odds by book, as of Friday night, October 16, 2026
BookSpreadMoneyline (ALA / TENN)Total
BetMGMAlabama -7.5 (-108)-325 / +26050.5
bet365Alabama -7.5 (-111)-320 / +26050.5
DraftKingsAlabama -7.5 (-112)-340 / +27050.5
FanDuelAlabama -7.5 (-110)-315 / +25050.5
FanaticsAlabama -7.5 (-115)-330 / +26051
BetRiversAlabama -7.5 (-114)-315 / +24551
CaesarsAlabama -7.5 (-110)-325 / +26051

Alabama vs Tennessee prediction from the betting odds

1
Start with the total
DraftKings has the game at 50.5 points.
2
Add the spread for the favorite
50.5 plus Alabama's 7.5 is 58, and half of that is 29 for Alabama.
3
Subtract for the underdog
50.5 minus 29 leaves 21.5 for Tennessee.
4
Check the moneyline
Alabama -340 and Tennessee +270 at DraftKings work out to 74.1% and 25.9% once the margin is removed.

Alabama opened -7 on Sunday (Circa posted the same number) and is -7.5 now, half a point past the second most common final margin in football, so a one-touchdown Alabama win loses for Alabama bettors. The bigger move is the total, down four points from 54.5, which says the market expects less Tennessee offense with its quarterback unsettled. Alabama also loses its starting center, Racin Delgatty, who was ruled out on Friday.

How Alabama and Tennessee got here

Both teams are 5-1, and both losses were by the same 20-17 score: Alabama lost to No. 1 Georgia in Tuscaloosa on October 10, and Tennessee lost to Texas at home on September 26.

DateAlabamaTennessee
Week 1W 48-10 vs East CarolinaW 56-9 vs Furman
Week 2W 45-17 at KentuckyW 45-24 at Georgia Tech
Week 3W 50-36 vs Florida StateW 42-9 vs Kennesaw State
Week 4W 49-18 vs South CarolinaL 17-20 vs Texas
Week 5W 56-23 at Mississippi StateW 24-14 vs Auburn
Week 6L 17-20 vs GeorgiaW 24-17 at Arkansas

Alabama: Keelon Russell after the Georgia loss

Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell went 16 of 30 for 185 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions in the 20-17 loss to Georgia, and Alabama did not score after the third quarter. Receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams left that game in the fourth quarter with a head injury and did not return, and Alabama has not given a timeline.

Tennessee: Brandon or MacIntyre?

Tennessee won 24-17 at Arkansas with redshirt freshman George MacIntyre making his first career start in place of Faizon Brandon: MacIntyre went 18 of 29 for 247 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Running back DeSean Bishop carried 19 times for 138 yards and a touchdown. Brandon, who started the first five games, was available only in an emergency against Arkansas with a shoulder injury from the Texas game.

Alabama and Tennessee injury report

From the SEC availability reports on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, October 14 to 16, confirmed by On3, Rocky Top Insider and Yahoo Sports. Tennessee quarterback Faizon Brandon (shoulder) was questionable on Wednesday and Thursday and was taken off Friday's report, but Volquest and other outlets report that George MacIntyre, who started the win at Arkansas, is expected to start; the school has not confirmed it. Tennessee rules out seven players, including offensive lineman Wendell Moe and safety Dylan Lewis. Alabama rules out center Racin Delgatty (lower leg), receiver Ryan Coleman-Williams and defensive lineman Terrance Green.

PlayerTeamPosStatus
Faizon BrandonTennesseeQBOff Friday report; MacIntyre expected to start
George MacIntyreTennesseeQBExpected starter (not announced)
Wendell MoeTennesseeOLOut
Dylan LewisTennesseeSOut
Jadais RichardTennesseeCBOut
Joakim DodsonTennesseeWROut
Racin DelgattyAlabamaCOut (lower leg)
Ryan Coleman-WilliamsAlabamaWROut
Terrance GreenAlabamaDLOut
Jeremiah BeamanAlabamaDLOut
Justin HillAlabamaLBProbable

Alabama vs Tennessee series history

Alabama leads the all-time series, 61-40-7 by one count (sources differ by a game). Alabama won 37-20 in Tuscaloosa last season, and Tennessee won the last meeting in Knoxville, 24-17 in 2024. This is the 108th meeting.

DateSiteResult
Oct 18, 2025TuscaloosaAlabama 37, Tennessee 20
Oct 19, 2024KnoxvilleTennessee 24, Alabama 17
Market read, not a pick
Everything above is what the betting market thinks. If Guaranteed Sport Picks releases a handicapped side on Alabama vs Tennessee, it goes on the premium picks page with Pay After You Win: you are charged only on a win. Free plays are on free picks, and the rest of the slate is in our college football Week 7 preview.

Alabama vs Tennessee questions

Who is favored in Alabama vs Tennessee?+
Alabama is a 7.5-point favorite at Tennessee for Saturday, October 17, 2026, at all seven major books, with DraftKings at -340 on the moneyline, as of October 16, 2026. Alabama opened at -7.
What is the Alabama vs Tennessee prediction from the odds?+
Alabama -7.5 and DraftKings' 50.5 total imply a final of about Alabama 29, Tennessee 21.5, with Alabama a 74.1% favorite after removing the margin. That is a read of the market, not a pick.
Who is Tennessee's quarterback against Alabama?+
As of Friday, October 16, 2026, Tennessee had not announced a starter. Faizon Brandon (shoulder) came off the SEC availability report on Friday, and multiple outlets report that George MacIntyre is expected to start.
What time is Alabama vs Tennessee?+
Alabama at Tennessee kicks off at 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 17, 2026, at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, on ABC.
Who won the last Alabama vs Tennessee game?+
Alabama beat Tennessee 37-20 in Tuscaloosa on October 18, 2025. Tennessee won the last meeting in Knoxville, 24-17 in 2024.
Saturday in Knoxville
A line sitting a hook past 7 is worth shopping. Compare books, or take our sides with Pay After You Win.
Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction | Guaranteed Sport Picks