NFL Rookie of the Year Odds 2026: Fernando Mendoza and Arvell Reese Take Over
Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza is the new favorite for 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at +200 to +350 across five sportsbooks as of Thursday, November 12, 2026. He has not started a game yet, but the Raiders traded Kirk Cousins to Minnesota on Tuesday and Mendoza starts Sunday against Seattle.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds
The table shows each player's low and high price across bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars and FanDuel, the best available number, and the implied probability of the median price. Award boards list only some rookies, so these percentages still include the margin. BetRivers is no longer on VegasInsider's board for these awards.
| Player | Team | Range | Best price | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | Raiders QB | +200 to +350 | +350 (FanDuel) | 25.0% |
| Jonah Coleman | Broncos RB | +400 to +600 | +600 (DraftKings) | 17.4% |
| Denzel Boston | Browns WR | +500 to +600 | +600 (BetMGM) | 16.7% |
| Carnell Tate | Titans WR | +500 to +600 | +600 (BetMGM, DraftKings) | 16.7% |
| KC Concepcion | Browns WR | +650 to +750 | +750 (BetMGM) | 13.3% |
| Carson Beck | Cardinals QB | +1,400 to +1,800 | +1,800 (BetMGM, DraftKings) | 6.3% |
| Caleb Douglas | Dolphins WR | +1,600 to +3,000 | +3,000 (BetMGM) | 4.3% |
| Makai Lemon | Eagles WR | +2,500 to +4,000 | +4,000 (BetMGM) | 3.8% |
| Jadarian Price | Seahawks RB | +3,000 to +4,000 | +4,000 (BetMGM, FanDuel) | 3.2% |
| Antonio Williams | Commanders WR | +2,000 to +5,000 | +5,000 (FanDuel) | 2.7% |
Fernando Mendoza, Raiders QB
The No. 1 overall pick has played in one game and was +2,500 at BetMGM hours before the November 10 trade deadline, per VegasInsider. The Raiders then traded Kirk Cousins to the Vikings for a 2027 third-round pick, and Mendoza starts Sunday at home against Seattle. With eight games left, he has the quarterback edge voters reward.
Jonah Coleman, Broncos RB
Coleman has 47 carries for 191 yards and three touchdowns plus 13 catches for 128 yards, per VegasInsider, on a Denver team that is 7-2. DraftKings has the best price at +600 and Caesars the shortest at +400. He and Tate were co-favorites at +450 at BetMGM before the Cousins trade.
Carnell Tate, Titans WR
Tate has 34 catches for 413 yards and one touchdown for a 2-7 Tennessee team, per VegasInsider. A shoulder injury forced him out of the Week 8 game against Cincinnati, and he is questionable for Sunday against Jacksonville after the bye. BetMGM and DraftKings have him at +600.
Denzel Boston and KC Concepcion, Browns WRs
Boston led this board a month ago and still has the best receiving line of the group, 32 catches for 501 yards and three touchdowns, per VegasInsider. He is questionable for Sunday against Houston with a toe injury, and his price has drifted from +175 to +250 to +500 to +600. His Cleveland teammate Concepcion is +650 to +750.
Carson Beck and Jeremiyah Love
Carson Beck has been named Arizona's starter for Week 10 and sits sixth at +1,400 to +1,800. Love, the No. 3 pick and the preseason favorite, went on injured reserve on November 3 with a high ankle sprain expected to cost him four to five weeks, per the AP and NFL Network, and he is off the board.
NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds
Same five books and the same method as above. Bailey's line is missing at FanDuel, Jacob Rodriguez's at Caesars and Rueben Bain Jr.'s at BetMGM, so their ranges cover four books. FanDuel's +2,500 on Rodriguez sits far from the other three (+750 to +800).
| Player | Team | Range | Best price | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvell Reese | Giants LB | -140 to -110 | -110 (bet365, DraftKings) | 53.5% |
| David Bailey | Jets edge | +250 to +260 | +260 (bet365) | 28.6% |
| Jacob Rodriguez | Dolphins LB | +750 to +2,500 | +2,500 (FanDuel) | 11.4% |
| Sonny Styles | Commanders LB | +800 to +1,800 | +1,800 (FanDuel) | 7.7% |
| Caleb Downs | Cowboys S | +1,800 to +3,000 | +3,000 (FanDuel) | 3.8% |
| Mansoor Delane | Chiefs CB | +2,500 to +4,500 | +4,500 (FanDuel) | 3.2% |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | Buccaneers edge | +3,000 to +7,000 | +7,000 (FanDuel) | 2.2% |
Arvell Reese, Giants LB
Reese had three sacks in the Giants' win at Philadelphia on November 8 and went from co-favorite to odds-on. Through eight games he has 68 tackles, 4.5 sacks and eight tackles for loss, per amNY, and all of the sacks have come in his last five games, per VegasInsider. Caesars is shortest at -140.
David Bailey, Jets edge
Bailey answered with two sacks and two forced fumbles in the Jets' 35-12 loss at Kansas City, per Oddschecker, and improved slightly from +275 to +250 at BetMGM. VegasInsider has him at 7.5 sacks and five forced fumbles. At +250 to +260 he is the only other player shorter than +750.
Jacob Rodriguez and the long shots
Dolphins linebacker Jacob Rodriguez is third at +750 to +800 at three books, with Commanders linebacker Sonny Styles next at +800 to +1,800. Cowboys safety Caleb Downs opened at +850 and is out to +1,800 to +3,000 even though he leads BetMGM in tickets, per VegasInsider.
How NFL Rookie of the Year is decided
Both awards are voted on by a national media panel after the regular season and handed out at NFL Honors before the Super Bowl. Voters lean on season totals and team success, so early-season odds follow workload and highlight plays.