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Super Bowl Odds 2026-27: 49ers and Bills Co-Favorites After Week 9

Super Bowl Odds 2026-27: 49ers and Bills Co-Favorites After Week 9

The San Francisco 49ers and Buffalo Bills are co-favorites in the Super Bowl odds for 2026-27: the 49ers are +550 to +600 and the Bills +575 to +600 across five sportsbooks, as of Monday, November 9, 2026. The Chicago Bears are third at +700 to +800 after a 27-24 win over Tampa Bay.

The short version
49ers +550 to +600, Bills +575 to +600, Bears +700 to +800, Jaguars +850. Last week the Bills were the lone favorite at +550; the 49ers caught them after a 38-17 win over the Raiders.
+550
49ers, shortest price
13.2% fair title chance
+575
Bills at the books
Play at Minnesota Monday
+2,000
Packers, biggest riser
From +2,700 to +3,000
121.9%
Book board total
Margin removed below

Super Bowl odds 2026-27 for all 32 teams

Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams, as of November 9, 2026
TeamRecBooksBestFair %KalshiPolyNov 3
San Francisco 49ers7-1+550 to +600+60012.6%13.4%13.7%+580 to +600
Buffalo Bills7-1+575 to +600+60011.7%12.5%13.4%+550
Chicago Bears7-2+700 to +800+8009.7%11.6%12.3%+750 to +900
Jacksonville Jaguars6-2+850+8508.6%7.9%8.9%+900 to +1,000
Kansas City Chiefs6-2+1,000 to +1,200+1,2007.5%6.9%8.1%+1,000 to +1,100
Los Angeles Rams5-4+1,000 to +1,300+1,3006.3%6%6.4%+1,100 to +1,200
Cincinnati Bengals6-2+1,200 to +1,300+1,3006.3%6%5.9%+1,400 to +1,700
Seattle Seahawks5-4+1,500 to +1,700+1,7005.1%5.1%3.7%+1,200 to +1,400
Denver Broncos7-2+1,400 to +1,700+1,7004.8%5.1%5.2%+1,500 to +1,800
Detroit Lions6-2+1,500 to +1,900+1,9004.8%4.2%4.2%+1,600 to +1,800
Green Bay Packers6-3+2,000 to +2,600+2,6003.6%3.2%3%+2,700 to +3,000
Minnesota Vikings6-2+2,200 to +2,800+2,8003.2%3.2%2.7%+2,200 to +2,500
New England Patriots5-4+2,200 to +3,000+3,0002.9%2.3%2.1%+2,000
Houston Texans3-5+3,500 to +5,000+5,0002%1.4%1.5%+3,300 to +5,000
Pittsburgh Steelers6-2+4,000+4,0002%1.4%2.2%+3,500 to +4,000
Dallas Cowboys4-5+5,500 to +6,000+6,0001.5%1.4%1.3%+5,000 to +6,600
New York Giants5-2-1+5,500 to +6,500+6,5001.3%1.4%1.5%+6,000 to +6,600
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-6+6,000 to +9,000+9,0001.2%0.5%0.7%+6,000 to +9,000
Carolina Panthers3-5+9,000 to +11,000+11,0000.8%0.5%0.6%+6,500 to +9,000
Atlanta Falcons3-6+10,000 to +12,500+12,5000.8%0.5%0.4%+8,000 to +10,000
New Orleans Saints3-5+12,500 to +20,000+20,0000.5%0.5%0.4%+12,500 to +25,000
Washington Commanders2-5-1+12,500 to +20,000+20,0000.5%0.5%0.3%+10,000 to +12,500
Baltimore Ravens4-5+15,000 to +25,000+25,0000.5%0.5%0.5%+10,000 to +22,500
Las Vegas Raiders4-5+15,000 to +17,500+17,5000.5%0.5%0.1%+12,500
Cleveland Browns5-4+20,000 to +22,500+22,5000.4%0.5%0.2%+15,000 to +20,000
Arizona Cardinals3-6+70,000 to +100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0%+75,000
Indianapolis Colts2-7+100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0%+100,000
Philadelphia Eagles2-7+100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0.1%+50,000 to +100,000
New York Jets2-7+100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0%+100,000 to +200,000
Miami Dolphins1-7+100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0%+100,000 to +500,000
Tennessee Titans1-7+100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0%+100,000 to +300,000
Los Angeles Chargers0-8+100,000+100,0000.1%0.5%0%+100,000

"Books" is the range at bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars and FanDuel on VegasInsider's futures board, checked Monday morning, November 9. "Fair %" divides each team's median price by the full board, which adds up to 121.9%. Kalshi and Polymarket are Monday-morning midpoints with the margin removed.

"Nov 3" is last week's book range from this page. Prices change after every game, so treat this as a snapshot.

Fair title chance, books + Kalshi + Polymarket average, Nov. 9
San Francisco 49ers13.2%
Buffalo Bills12.5%
Chicago Bears11.2%
Jacksonville Jaguars8.5%
Kansas City Chiefs7.5%
Los Angeles Rams6.3%
Cincinnati Bengals6.1%
Denver Broncos5%
Seattle Seahawks4.6%
Detroit Lions4.4%
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Who is the favorite to win the Super Bowl?

The San Francisco 49ers (7-1) and Buffalo Bills (7-1) share the top of the board on prices as of November 9, 2026. Averaging the books, Kalshi and Polymarket, the 49ers are at 13.2% and the Bills at 12.5%.

The 49ers beat Las Vegas 38-17 without Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel and are 7-1, the best record in the NFL. The Bills beat Minnesota 23-6 on Monday night, after this snapshot, and Kalshi had Buffalo at about 14.5% on Tuesday morning.

Super Bowl contenders behind the 49ers and Bills

Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chicago Bears are +700 to +800 at the books and 11.2% on our average after beating Tampa Bay 27-24 on Sunday night. Kalshi and Polymarket rate Chicago higher than the books do, at 11.6% and 12.3%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are +850 at all five books after a 33-10 win at Baltimore. They are 95% to make the playoffs and 89% to win the AFC South.

Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals

The Chiefs are +1,000 to +1,200 after a 35-12 win over the Jets. Patrick Mahomes hurt his elbow in that game; his MRI showed no major injury. The Rams are +1,000 to +1,300 at 5-4, and Puka Nacua has a knee MRI on Monday.

The Bengals tightened from +1,400 to +1,700 to +1,200 to +1,300 after beating Atlanta 34-17 in Madrid. They host Pittsburgh on Sunday night as 3.5-point favorites.

Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks

The Packers are the biggest riser, from +2,700 to +3,000 to +2,000 to +2,600, after a 45-27 win at New England. The Seahawks went the other way, from +1,200 to +1,400 to +1,500 to +1,700, even after beating Arizona 17-3, with Sam Darnold and Drew Lock both hurt.

For the full order, see our Week 10 power rankings, which rank all 32 teams by these numbers.

How Super Bowl futures work

A Super Bowl future pays if your team wins the title, and the price is locked when you bet. A team at +600 pays $600 profit on $100. Books build in a margin, which is why the full board adds up to more than 100%.

Prediction markets price the same outcome as a contract between 0 and 1 dollar. Kalshi's Super Bowl market lets you sell a position before the season ends, which is one way to lock in a profit on a team that gets hot. Our free plays are on the free picks page.

Super Bowl odds questions

Who is the favorite to win Super Bowl LXI?+
The San Francisco 49ers and Buffalo Bills are co-favorites as of November 9, 2026: the 49ers are +550 to +600 and the Bills +575 to +600 across five books. The 49ers have the edge on Kalshi and Polymarket.
What are the Bills' Super Bowl odds?+
Buffalo is +575 to +600 at the books, about a 12.5% chance after removing the margin, as of November 9, 2026. The Bills beat Minnesota 23-6 on Monday night, after that snapshot.
Which team moved the most on the Super Bowl board this week?+
The Green Bay Packers shortened from +2,700 to +3,000 to +2,000 to +2,600 after a 45-27 win at New England. The Seattle Seahawks drifted to +1,500 to +1,700 with two quarterbacks hurt.
When is Super Bowl LXI?+
Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for February 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, closing the 2026 NFL season.
How do you read Super Bowl futures odds?+
A price of +600 pays $600 profit on a $100 bet if that team wins the title. The implied chance is 100 divided by 700, about 14.3%, before the book's margin is removed.
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Super Bowl Odds 2026: All 32 Teams | Guaranteed Sport Picks