Michigan vs Oregon Prediction and Odds: Ducks -10.5, Total 38.5
Oregon is a 10.5-point favorite over Michigan at all seven books on SportsbookReview as of early Saturday, November 14, 2026, with the total at 38.5. That points to a final near Oregon 24.5, Michigan 14. Kickoff is Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on FS1 from Autzen Stadium in Eugene.
Michigan is expected to play both Tommy Carr and Bryce Underwood at quarterback, with Carr likely to start, per ESPN's Pete Thamel via ClutchPoints. Michigan also fired offensive coordinator Jason Beck this week, per Field Level Media.
Michigan vs Oregon odds at every book
| Book | Spread | Moneyline (MICH / ORE) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | ORE -10.5 (-108) | +333 / -426 | 38.5 |
| bet365 | ORE -10.5 (-107) | +335 / -430 | 38.5 |
| DraftKings | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +330 / -425 | 38.5 |
| FanDuel | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +320 / -410 | 38.5 |
| Fanatics | ORE -10.5 (-105) | +325 / -425 | 38.5 |
| BetRivers | ORE -10.5 (-113) | +330 / -455 | 38.5 |
| Caesars | ORE -10.5 (-110) | +340 / -441 | 38.5 |
Every book has Oregon at -10.5. Fanatics has the cheapest Oregon price at -105, and Caesars has the best Michigan moneyline at +340. All seven books are at 38.5 on the total.
The spread opened at Oregon -11 on SportsbookReview and has barely moved, with 67% of spread tickets on Oregon and 59% of total tickets on the Over. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.
Michigan vs Oregon prediction from the odds
That gives the market's prediction as Oregon 24.5, Michigan 14. Oregon scores 36.9 points per game and Michigan 27.5, per FOX Sports, so the low total reflects both defenses and Michigan's offense of late.
| Source | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Market | Oregon by 10.5 | 38.5 |
| Prediction Tracker median | Oregon by 14 (std dev 3.4) | Not listed |
| Massey Ratings | Oregon 28, Michigan 17 | 45 |
The tracker median is three and a half points above the line and Massey is half a point above it, so the two systems agree on direction but not on size. Massey also projects 45 points against a 38.5 total.
How Michigan and Oregon got here
Michigan is 5-4 and lost 15-6 to Michigan State, its first loss without allowing a touchdown since 1985, per Field Level Media. Carr has thrown for 641 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions.
Oregon is 6-3. The Ducks allow 17.9 points per game and 157.9 passing yards per game, per FOX Sports, which matches up with a Michigan passing game that averages 186.8 yards.
Michigan vs Oregon injury report
| Player | Team | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Carr, QB | Michigan | Expected to start; Bryce Underwood also expected to play (Thamel via ClutchPoints) |
Michigan also has a new play-caller after firing offensive coordinator Jason Beck, per Field Level Media. Check the Big Ten availability report before kickoff for anything new on either side.
No lean on this game.
Our projection is Oregon by about 12.5, between Massey's 11 and the tracker's 14. That would be lean territory on Oregon -10.5.
We are not posting it. Michigan plans to use two quarterbacks under a new play-caller, and we do not lean on a game with an unsettled starter. Both teams are coming off games on November 7.
We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. Our free plays are on the free picks page, and our full card is on premium picks.
For the full Saturday board, see our college football Week 11 preview. Other games we broke down this week: USC vs Indiana, Texas vs LSU and Missouri vs Georgia.