College Football National Championship Odds 2026-27: Georgia Leads, Notre Dame Climbs After Week 10
Georgia is the favorite in the college football national championship odds through Saturday's games, as of Sunday morning, November 8, 2026, at about a 28.6% chance on Kalshi and Polymarket and +240 to +250 at the sportsbooks.
Notre Dame climbed to second at about 18.3% after beating No. 1 Miami 31-24, and Alabama jumped from about 4.5% to 10% with a 31-13 win at LSU.
Miami fell from second to fourth at about 9.7% after its first loss. Ohio State, LSU and Ole Miss all lost on Saturday and are now priced at 2.5% or less on the prediction markets.
Week 11 has Texas at LSU, USC at Indiana and Missouri at Georgia on Saturday, and the second CFP rankings come out Tuesday night. The title game is Monday, January 25, 2027, in Las Vegas.
National championship odds 2026-27: the full board after Week 10
The table is our own snapshot as of Sunday morning, November 8, 2026. The Kalshi column is the live bid and ask, Polymarket is its last price, and the average of the two sets our fair odds. Polymarket does not list Utah, UCLA or Tennessee, so those rows use Kalshi alone.
Book prices are the range across BetMGM, FanDuel, DraftKings, bet365 and Fanatics on SportsbookReview's futures board, and "Opened" is SportsbookReview's opening price. The next-game spreads are the current range on SportsbookReview's college football board; two Big 12 and SEC games had no line posted on Sunday morning.
| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket | Avg | Fair | Books Sun. | Opened | Kalshi Nov. 1 | Next game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Georgia | 27 to 29¢ | 29.2% | 28.6% | +250 | +240 to +250 | +1000 | 22.5% | vs Missouri (-14 to -14.5) |
| 2. Notre Dame | 17 to 19¢ | 18.5% | 18.3% | +448 | +350 to +400 | +700 | 13.5% | vs Boston College (-30.5 to -31.5) |
| 3. Alabama | 10 to 11¢ | 9.6% | 10.1% | +895 | +650 to +700 | +1500 | 4.5% | at Vanderbilt (-18.5 to -19.5) |
| 4. Miami (FL) | 9 to 10¢ | 9.9% | 9.7% | +931 | +800 to +900 | +1500 | 16.5% | vs Duke (-13.5 to -15.5) |
| 5. Texas | 9 to 10¢ | 7.7% | 8.6% | +1063 | +900 to +1100 | +700 | 7.5% | at LSU (+4 to +4.5) |
| 6. Indiana | 8 to 9¢ | 7.3% | 7.9% | +1166 | +750 to +1050 | +800 | 8.5% | vs USC (-6.5 to -7.5) |
| 7. UCLA | 3 to 4¢ | n/a | 3.5% | +2757 | +3500 to +4000 | +30000 | 2.5% | vs Illinois, Friday (-9.5 to -10.5) |
| 8. Utah | 3 to 4¢ | n/a | 3.5% | +2757 | +2500 to +2800 | +8000 | 2.5% | at Arizona (not posted) |
| 9. LSU | 2 to 3¢ | 2.1% | 2.3% | +4248 | +1700 to +2200 | +1500 | 7.5% | vs Texas (-4 to -4.5) |
| 10. Ole Miss | 1 to 2¢ | 2.2% | 1.9% | +5305 | +3500 | +2500 | 3.5% | at Oklahoma (-2.5) |
| 11. Oregon | 1 to 2¢ | 1.5% | 1.5% | +6567 | +5000 to +5500 | +700 | under 1% | vs Michigan (-9.5 to -11.5) |
| 12. Tennessee | 1 to 2¢ | n/a | 1.5% | +6567 | +3300 to +3700 | +5000 | under 1% | at Texas A&M (not posted) |
| 13. Ohio State | 0 to 1¢ | 1.3% | 0.9% | +11011 | +6600 to +7000 | +600 | 4.5% | vs Northwestern (-10.5) |
The books and the prediction markets disagree most on Alabama and Notre Dame. Alabama's +650 to +700 implies about 13% before the margin, while the markets have the Crimson Tide at 10%. Notre Dame's +350 to +400 implies 20% to 22%, against 18.3% on the markets.
Ohio State is the reverse: the books still show +6600 to +7000, about 1.4%, while Kalshi has the Buckeyes under a cent. You can compare the Kalshi national championship market with Polymarket before you pick a book, and our free plays for the week are on the free picks page.
Who moved in the national championship odds after Week 10
| Team | Kalshi Nov. 1 | Kalshi Nov. 8 | Saturday, Nov. 7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 22.5% | 27 to 29¢ | Won 42-7 at Ole Miss |
| Notre Dame | 13.5% | 17 to 19¢ | Beat No. 1 Miami 31-24 |
| Alabama | 4.5% | 10 to 11¢ | Won 31-13 at LSU |
| Texas | 7.5% | 9 to 10¢ | Won 34-20 at Missouri |
| Utah | 2.5% | 3 to 4¢ | Beat BYU 28-20, now 9-0 |
| Miami (FL) | 16.5% | 9 to 10¢ | Lost 31-24 at Notre Dame |
| LSU | 7.5% | 2 to 3¢ | Lost 31-13 to Alabama |
| Ohio State | 4.5% | 0 to 1¢ | Lost 41-28 to Oregon, now 6-3 |
| Ole Miss | 3.5% | 1 to 2¢ | Lost 42-7 to Georgia |
Georgia national championship odds: the favorite by a wider margin
Georgia beat Ole Miss 42-7 on Saturday to move to 8-1, per the CBS Sports box score and the Associated Press recap. Gunner Stockton threw four touchdown passes and ran for a fifth score. Georgia's Kalshi price rose from 22.5% to 27 to 29 cents, and Polymarket has the Bulldogs at 29.2%.
The books moved from +325 to +350 a week ago to +240 to +250, after opening at +1000. Kalshi gives Georgia a 54 to 56% chance to win the SEC. The Bulldogs host Missouri on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on ABC as a 14 to 14.5 point favorite.
Notre Dame national championship odds: the win over Miami changed the race
Notre Dame beat Miami 31-24 in South Bend, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports box scores, and CJ Carr threw for 319 yards and three touchdowns. The Fighting Irish are 8-1, and their Kalshi price rose from 13.5% to 17 to 19 cents, with Polymarket at 18.5%.
The books moved from +450 to +550 to +350 to +400. Kalshi gives Notre Dame a 94 to 95% chance to make the 12-team playoff. As an independent, Notre Dame has no conference title game and cannot earn a first-round bye through one.
It hosts Boston College on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on NBC as a 30.5 to 31.5 point favorite.
Alabama national championship odds: the biggest gain of the week
Alabama won 31-13 at LSU, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports box scores, with Keelon Russell throwing for 206 yards and three touchdowns. Russell hurt his left ankle in the third quarter, returned, and called it not a big injury afterward, per the Associated Press.
Alabama is 7-2, and its Kalshi price more than doubled, from 4.5% to 10 to 11 cents. The books moved from +950 to +1200 to +650 to +700. Kalshi gives Alabama a 24 to 25% chance to win the SEC and a 92 to 93% chance to make the playoff.
The Crimson Tide play at Vanderbilt on Saturday at 12:45 PM ET on SEC Network as an 18.5 to 19.5 point favorite.
Miami national championship odds: the first loss cost seven points
Miami lost for the first time, 31-24 at Notre Dame, with Darian Mensah throwing three touchdowns and an interception. Malachi Toney did not play after ankle surgery and is expected to miss 4 to 6 weeks, per the Associated Press. Miami is 8-1.
Miami's Kalshi price fell from 16.5% to 9 to 10 cents, and the books moved from +600 to +650 out to +800 to +900. The ACC race did not change: Kalshi still gives Miami a 61 to 64% chance to win the conference and a 91 to 95% chance to make the playoff.
The Hurricanes host Duke at noon ET on Saturday on ABC as a 13.5 to 15.5 point favorite.
Texas, Indiana, Utah and UCLA: the group behind the top four
Texas won 34-20 at Missouri, per the CBS Sports box score, with Arch Manning throwing for 297 yards and three touchdowns. The Longhorns are 7-2 and up to 9 to 10 cents on Kalshi. They play at LSU on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET on ABC as a 4 to 4.5 point underdog.
Indiana had a bye and holds at 8 to 9 cents, with a 43 to 45% chance to win the Big Ten on Kalshi. The Hoosiers host USC on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on CBS as a 6.5 to 7.5 point favorite.
Josh Hoover's shoulder is the open question: Curt Cignetti said on November 5 that Hoover is on the mend, and he has not named a starter.
Utah beat BYU 28-20 to reach 9-0 and is 3 to 4 cents on Kalshi, with a 47 to 48% chance to win the Big 12. UCLA beat Minnesota 34-20 and is also 9-0 and 3 to 4 cents.
Both unbeaten teams are priced below four two-loss SEC and Big Ten teams, because the markets rate their schedules and rosters below the title contenders.
Ohio State, LSU and Ole Miss: the week's biggest drops
Ohio State lost 41-28 to Oregon with Luke Fahey starting for the injured Julian Sayin, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports box scores. The Buckeyes are 6-3, and their Kalshi title price fell from 4.5% to under a cent.
Their chance to make the playoff on Kalshi fell from 53 to 57 cents a week ago to 13 to 14 cents.
LSU fell from 7.5% to 2 to 3 cents after the loss to Alabama, and its make-the-playoff price dropped to 25 to 26 cents. Ole Miss fell from 3.5% to 1 to 2 cents after the 42-7 loss to Georgia. Our CFP predictions show where every contender lands in the bracket after Week 10.
How national championship odds work
A price of +250 means a $100 bet returns $250 in profit if the team wins the title, which implies about a 28.6% chance before the book's margin. Kalshi and Polymarket list every team, so their prices already add up close to 100% and can be read as percentages.
Futures tie up money until January, which is why shopping for the best number matters. Our futures betting guide explains the basics, and the sportsbooks page lists where to compare prices.