Bowl Projections 2026-27: Bowl Predictions for Every Game After Week 10
The newest bowl projections after Week 10 send Georgia and Notre Dame to the Orange Bowl semifinal and Miami and Alabama to the Sugar Bowl, according to Brad Crawford's CBS Sports bowl predictions published Saturday night, November 7, 2026. Crawford has Georgia beating Miami for the title in Las Vegas.
If you searched for 2027 bowl projections, this is the page: it covers the whole 2026-27 bowl season and updates after every Saturday.
Miami's 31-24 loss at Notre Dame dropped the Hurricanes from the No. 1 seed to No. 3 in his bracket, and Notre Dame rose from No. 11 to No. 5. Ohio State fell out of the playoff field and into the Citrus Bowl after losing 41-28 to Oregon.
Selection Day is Sunday, December 6, the first round is December 18 and 19, and the title game is January 25, 2027, in Las Vegas. Our own market-based bracket, built from Kalshi prices, is on our CFP predictions page.
Every bowl now has its own page with the date, kickoff time and TV channel. Start with the full 2026-27 bowl game schedule.
CFP bowl predictions: quarterfinals and semifinals
These are Brad Crawford's CBS Sports projections from the night of November 7, the first full set published after Week 10. Seeds: 1 Georgia, 2 Utah, 3 Miami, 4 Indiana, 5 Notre Dame, 6 Alabama, 7 UCLA, 8 Texas, 9 Tennessee, 10 Kentucky, 11 BYU, 12 Boise State.
| Game | Date | CBS projection (Nov. 7) |
|---|---|---|
| First round | Dec. 18 to 19, campus sites | 12 Boise State at 5 Notre Dame; 11 BYU at 6 Alabama; 10 Kentucky at 7 UCLA; 9 Tennessee at 8 Texas |
| Fiesta Bowl (QF) | Wed., Dec. 30 | 5 Notre Dame vs 4 Indiana |
| Peach Bowl (QF) | Fri., Jan. 1 | 9 Tennessee or 8 Texas vs 1 Georgia |
| Cotton Bowl (QF) | Fri., Jan. 1 | 7 UCLA vs 3 Miami (FL) |
| Rose Bowl (QF) | Fri., Jan. 1 | 6 Alabama vs 2 Utah |
| Orange Bowl (SF) | Thu., Jan. 14 | Georgia vs Notre Dame |
| Sugar Bowl (SF) | Fri., Jan. 15 | Miami (FL) vs Alabama |
| National championship | Mon., Jan. 25, 2027 | Georgia vs Miami (FL), Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas |
Barry Werner's USA Today projected CFP rankings, published Sunday morning, November 8, rank the top 12 as Georgia, Utah, Alabama, Indiana, UCLA, Notre Dame, Miami, Texas, Tennessee, Wake Forest, USC and Texas Tech. He projects rankings, not a bracket, so Boise State's automatic bid would push his 12th team out.
CBS and USA Today agree on Georgia first, Utah second and Texas eighth. They split on Alabama (sixth for CBS, third for USA Today), Notre Dame (fifth and sixth) and the last spots, where CBS keeps Kentucky and BYU and USA Today takes Wake Forest and USC.
The prediction markets side with neither on Kentucky and BYU: Kalshi has both under 30% to make the field.
The committee's second rankings on November 10 sided with USA Today on Alabama, which is third, and with CBS on BYU and Kentucky, which are 10th and 11th. On those rankings the first round is Boise State at Notre Dame, Kentucky at Texas, BYU at Miami and Indiana at Tennessee.
Bowl predictions for the major bowls
The table compares Crawford's November 7 projections with his November 1 set, so you can see what one Saturday changed. Ohio State dropped from the No. 7 seed to the Citrus Bowl, Oregon moved from the Las Vegas Bowl to the Holiday Bowl after beating Ohio State, and Wake Forest went from the Pop-Tarts Bowl to the Holiday Bowl.
| Bowl | CBS, Crawford (Nov. 7) | CBS, Crawford (Nov. 1) |
|---|---|---|
| Citrus | Ohio State vs LSU | Iowa vs Alabama |
| ReliaQuest | Iowa vs Florida | Northwestern vs Ole Miss |
| Gator | Virginia Tech vs Ole Miss | Pittsburgh vs Florida |
| Alamo | USC vs Texas Tech | USC vs Texas Tech |
| Las Vegas | Arizona vs South Carolina | Oregon vs South Carolina |
| Holiday | Wake Forest vs Oregon | Virginia Tech vs Oregon State |
| Music City | Texas A&M vs Illinois | Nebraska vs Oklahoma |
| Texas | Oklahoma State vs Missouri | Oklahoma State vs Tennessee |
| Pop-Tarts | SMU vs Houston | Wake Forest vs Houston |
| Pinstripe | Wisconsin vs Pittsburgh | North Carolina vs Wisconsin |
| Sun | Clemson vs Oregon State | SMU vs Arizona |
USC and Texas Tech meet in the Alamo Bowl in both sets. Houston stays in the Pop-Tarts Bowl, now against SMU instead of Wake Forest. Ole Miss, which was a No. 11 seed in some projections a week ago, slid to the Gator Bowl after its 42-7 loss to Georgia.
Bowl projections for the rest of the bowl season
| Bowl | CBS projection (Nov. 7) |
|---|---|
| Liberty | Baylor vs Auburn |
| Duke's Mayo | Duke vs Northwestern |
| Military | North Carolina vs UTSA |
| Birmingham | USF vs Mississippi State |
| Cactus | Michigan vs Cincinnati |
| Fenway | Penn State vs East Carolina |
| Armed Forces | West Virginia vs Army |
| Gasparilla | Louisville vs Minnesota |
| Independence | UCF vs Washington |
| Arizona | Nebraska vs UNLV |
| Frisco | Liberty vs New Mexico |
| New Orleans | James Madison vs Jacksonville State |
| First Responder | Toledo vs North Texas |
| Poinsettia | Fresno State vs Arizona State |
| Boca Raton | Western Michigan vs Memphis |
CBS has New Mexico, 8-1 after a 31-3 win over Nevada on Friday, in the Frisco Bowl, behind Boise State for the Group of Six playoff spot. Kalshi gives Boise State a 57 to 60% chance to make the playoff and New Mexico 27 to 29%.
How the bowl picture changed in Week 10
Eight ranked teams lost on Saturday, per the CBS Sports and FOX Sports scoreboards: Miami (31-24 at Notre Dame), Kentucky (34-6 at Tennessee), BYU (28-20 at Utah), Ole Miss (42-7 to Georgia), Ohio State (41-28 to Oregon), LSU (31-13 to Alabama), Missouri (34-20 to Texas) and Florida (23-7 to Oklahoma).
Utah (9-0) and UCLA (9-0) are the last unbeaten FBS teams. Boise State beat Colorado State 64-38 to reach 8-1 and stays the projected Group of Six team on every list we checked. The conference championship games are Friday, December 4 (Big 12, Pac-12, Mountain West, Sun Belt, Conference USA) and Saturday, December 5 (SEC, Big Ten, ACC, American, MAC).
Our free plays for Week 11 are posted on the free picks page, and every line for November 14 is in our college football Week 11 preview.