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Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction and Odds: Week 8 2026

Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction and Odds: Week 8 2026

Alabama is a 13.5-point home favorite over Texas A&M at all seven major books, with a total of 49.5 to 50.5, as of Saturday morning, October 24, 2026. The Texas A&M vs Alabama prediction from the odds is about Alabama 31.5, Texas A&M 18, and the no-vig moneyline puts Alabama's win chance near 82%. No. 13 Alabama (5-2) has lost two straight; Texas A&M (4-3) is 1-3 in SEC play.

Where it stands
Using a 49.5 total and Alabama -13.5, the implied final is Alabama 31.5, Texas A&M 18. With the margin removed from the DraftKings moneylines (+425 / -575), Alabama wins about 81.7% of the time. Lines as of Saturday morning, October 24, 2026.
BAMA -13.5
Spread, all 7 books
Was -14 to -14.5 at three books Tuesday
49.5
Total, median
49.5 to 50.5 across books
81.7%
Alabama win chance
DraftKings, vig removed
31.5-18
Implied score
Alabama first

Texas A&M vs Alabama odds at every book

The board for Texas A&M at No. 13 Alabama on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (3:30 PM ET, ABC, Bryant-Denny Stadium) shows Alabama -13.5 at all seven books. The total is 49.5 at DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars and BetRivers, 50 at Fanatics, and 50.5 at FanDuel and bet365.

Odds as of Saturday morning, October 24, 2026
BookSpreadMoneyline (TAMU / BAMA)Total
BetMGMBAMA -13.5 (-108)+450 / -60049.5
bet365BAMA -13.5 (-110)+450 / -60050.5
DraftKingsBAMA -13.5 (-108)+425 / -57549.5
FanDuelBAMA -13.5 (-110)+460 / -65050.5
FanaticsBAMA -13.5 (-110)+440 / -60050
BetRiversBAMA -13.5 (-113)+450 / -67049.5
CaesarsBAMA -13.5 (-113)+450 / -62549.5
Best Alabama number: -13.5 (-108) at DraftKings and BetMGM. Best Texas A&M number: +13.5 (-107) at Caesars. Best Texas A&M moneyline: FanDuel +460. Source: Action Network, spread and totals cross-checked with SportsbookReview on October 24. Lines move.

Every book was at -13.5 on Saturday morning, down from -14 and -14.5 at three books on Tuesday night, so the market has come toward Texas A&M by half a point to a point after Alabama's 26-10 loss at Tennessee. The total slipped from 50.5 to 49.5 at DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars and BetRivers, and 14 is a key number in college football because two touchdowns is a common margin.

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Texas A&M vs Alabama prediction from the odds

Here is how the betting market turns into a projected score, step by step. This is the market read.

1
Start with the total: 49.5
Books expect about 49.5 combined points.
2
Add the spread: 49.5 + 13.5 = 63
Half of that is the favorite's share: Alabama about 31.5.
3
Subtract for the underdog: 49.5 - 13.5 = 36
Half of that gives Texas A&M about 18.
4
Check the moneyline
DraftKings has Texas A&M +425 and Alabama -575. Removing the margin gives Texas A&M 18.3% and Alabama 81.7%.

How Texas A&M and No. 13 Alabama got here

Alabama started 5-0 under Kalen DeBoer, scoring at least 45 in every game, then lost 20-17 to Georgia and 26-10 at Tennessee and dropped from No. 6 to No. 13 in the AP poll. Keelon Russell has completed 67.5% of his passes for 1,746 yards, 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, per cfbstats. Texas A&M, a 2025 playoff team that started this season No. 8 in the AP poll, is 4-3 under Mike Elko. Its three losses came against Kentucky, LSU and Missouri, and it scored six points in two of them. Marcel Reed has completed 55.7% for 1,227 yards, 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions.

Texas A&M results, 2026 (4-3, 1-3 SEC)
GameOpponentResult
Sep 5Missouri StateW 50-0
Sep 12Arizona StateW 48-20
Sep 19KentuckyL 21-31
Sep 26at LSUL 6-35
Oct 3ArkansasW 34-7
Oct 10at MissouriL 6-27
Oct 17The CitadelW 41-0
Alabama results, 2026 (5-2, 3-2 SEC)
GameOpponentResult
Sep 5East CarolinaW 48-10
Sep 12at KentuckyW 45-17
Sep 19Florida StateW 50-36
Sep 26South CarolinaW 49-18
Oct 3at Mississippi StateW 56-23
Oct 10GeorgiaL 17-20
Oct 17at TennesseeL 10-26
29.4
Texas A&M points per game
Allows 17.1
39.3
Alabama points per game
Allows 21.4

Texas A&M vs Alabama injury report

The SEC releases availability reports Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. The designations below are from the Friday editions, reported Friday night, October 23, 2026. The forecast for kickoff in Tuscaloosa is sunny and about 75 degrees with a 5 to 7 mph wind, per Yahoo Sports and Sports Illustrated.

Injury and availability notes as of Friday night, October 23, 2026
PlayerTeamInjuryStatus
Keelon Russell, Marcel ReedBothQBNot on either availability report
Zabien BrownAlabamaCB, lower leg (Oct 17)Doubtful, downgraded from questionable Friday
EJ CrowellAlabamaRB, lower leg (Oct 17)Doubtful, downgraded from questionable Friday
Racin DelgattyAlabamaC, legDoubtful, downgraded from questionable Friday
Ryan Coleman-WilliamsAlabamaWR, kneeOut (meniscus surgery)
Terrance GreenAlabamaDTOut
Desmond Umeozulu, Nick ShermanAlabamaLB, DBOut
Cayden Jones, Jeremiah BeamanAlabamaLB, DLOut for the season
Terry BusseyTexas A&MWROut for the season
Kelshaun Johnson, Blake IvyTexas A&MWR, OLOut (Ivy for the season)
Anto SakaTexas A&MDEQuestionable
Mario Craver, DJ HicksTexas A&MWR, DTProbable on the Friday report, up from questionable

Texas A&M vs Alabama head-to-head

Alabama leads the series 13-3, and the teams did not meet in 2024 or 2025. Texas A&M's last win in Tuscaloosa came in 2012, and Alabama has won 91 straight home games against unranked opponents dating to 2007, per Texas A&M's game notes.

DateWinnerScoreSite
Oct 7, 2023Alabama26-20College Station
Oct 8, 2022Alabama24-20Tuscaloosa
Oct 9, 2021Texas A&M41-38College Station
Oct 3, 2020Alabama52-24Tuscaloosa
Oct 12, 2019Alabama47-28College Station
Our lean
No lean. Our number does not clear the bar on either side. The market implies Alabama by 13.5 (31.5 to 18) and the Prediction Tracker’s median has Alabama by 14.1 (standard deviation 4.6) as of Saturday morning, so the models and the line agree and there is no gap to bet. Alabama’s three doubtful starters are already in the number, and we do not back a two-touchdown favorite on a short injury list. The main risk to any Alabama side is a Texas A&M defense that has held three opponents to 7 or fewer points. Our handicapped plays are on the premium picks page and our free plays are on free picks. For the rest of the slate, see our college football Week 8 odds and line moves. We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. This read is free and editorial and is not counted in our official win/loss record.

Texas A&M vs Alabama questions

Who is favored in Texas A&M vs Alabama?+
Alabama is a 13.5-point favorite over Texas A&M at all seven major books as of October 24, 2026, with DraftKings moneylines of Alabama -575 and Texas A&M +425.
What is the Texas A&M vs Alabama prediction from the odds?+
The consensus spread of 13.5 and the 49.5 total imply about Alabama 31.5, Texas A&M 18, and the no-vig moneyline gives Alabama an 81.7% chance to win. That is the market read, and we have no lean on this game.
What is the total for Texas A&M vs Alabama?+
The total is 49.5 to 50.5 across the seven major books as of October 24, 2026 (49.5 at the median), down from 50.5 on Tuesday night.
What time and channel is Texas A&M vs Alabama?+
Kickoff is 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, October 24, 2026, on ABC from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa.
Is Zabien Brown playing against Texas A&M?+
Probably not. Zabien Brown hurt his lower leg at Tennessee and was downgraded from questionable to doubtful on the SEC report Friday night, October 23, 2026, per the Tuscaloosa News, AL.com, Saturday Down South and Sports Illustrated.
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Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction | Guaranteed Sport Picks