Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction and Odds: Week 8 2026
Texas is a 3-point home favorite over Ole Miss (3.5 at FanDuel and bet365) for Saturday night's game in Austin, and the total sits at 53.5 to 54 as of Saturday morning, October 24, 2026. That makes the Ole Miss vs Texas prediction from the odds roughly Texas 28.25, Ole Miss 25.25, with Texas winning about 58% of the time after the margin is taken out. No. 7 Ole Miss (5-1) visits a No. 19 Texas team that has lost two straight by a combined six points. Arch Manning starts, with KJ Lacey Jr. sharing first-team reps.
Ole Miss vs Texas odds at every book
The board for No. 7 Ole Miss at No. 19 Texas on Saturday, October 24, 2026 (7:30 PM ET, ABC, Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium) has Texas -3 at five of seven books and -3.5 at FanDuel and bet365. The two numbers sit a half point apart on the key number of 3, and the prices show it: Texas -3.5 is even money or better at FanDuel and bet365, while Texas -3 costs -112 to -117.
| Book | Spread | Moneyline (MISS / TEX) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | TEX -3 (-112) | +130 / -155 | 53.5 |
| bet365 | TEX -3.5 (+101) | +132 / -157 | 53.5 |
| DraftKings | TEX -3 (-112) | +130 / -155 | 53.5 |
| FanDuel | TEX -3.5 (+100) | +128 / -154 | 53.5 |
| Fanatics | TEX -3 (-115) | +130 / -155 | 54 |
| BetRivers | TEX -3 (-117) | +125 / -162 | 54 |
| Caesars | TEX -3 (-115) | +134 / -159 | 54 |
Texas has sat between -3 and -3.5 since Tuesday, so the market is parked on the key number of 3, and the total has held at 53.5 to 54. If you want a price you can sell before the final whistle, Kalshi's college football game contracts are another way to trade this one.
Ole Miss vs Texas prediction from the odds
Here is how the betting market turns into a projected score, step by step. This is the market read.
How No. 7 Ole Miss and No. 19 Texas got here
Ole Miss is 5-1 under first-year coach Pete Golding, with the only loss a 52-28 game at Florida, and is coming off a 31-3 win over No. 13 Missouri. Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for 1,676 yards and 14 touchdowns through six games, per Ole Miss. Texas beat Ohio State 24-23 on September 12 and briefly rose to No. 1 in the AP poll, but has since lost 27-24 to Oklahoma and 27-24 at home to Florida, which scored 24 straight points and held the Longhorns to 272 yards. Arch Manning has about 1,298 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions; Florida sacked him five times.
| Game | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | Louisville (Nashville) | W 41-38 |
| Sep 12 | Charlotte | W 41-9 |
| Sep 19 | LSU | W 32-24 |
| Sep 26 | at Florida | L 28-52 |
| Oct 10 | at Vanderbilt | W 52-17 |
| Oct 17 | Missouri | W 31-3 |
| Game | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | Texas State | W 59-7 |
| Sep 12 | Ohio State | W 24-23 |
| Sep 19 | UTSA | W 30-6 |
| Sep 26 | at Tennessee | W 20-17 |
| Oct 10 | Oklahoma (Dallas) | L 24-27 |
| Oct 17 | Florida | L 24-27 |
Ole Miss vs Texas injury report
The SEC releases availability reports Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. The designations below are from the Friday edition, released at 7:10 PM CT on October 23, 2026, per The Rebel Walk, with the Thursday report from On3 and Sports Illustrated.
| Player | Team | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arch Manning | Texas | QB | Starting; KJ Lacey Jr. has shared first-team reps and could play (CBS Sports); not on the report |
| Trinidad Chambliss | Ole Miss | QB | Not on the report |
| Colin Simmons | Texas | Edge, high ankle sprain (Oct 17) | Out |
| Hollywood Smothers, Kaliq Lockett | Texas | RB, WR | Out on the Friday report; Smothers was doubtful Thursday |
| Jaydon Chatman, Richard Wesley | Texas | OL, Edge | Out |
| Edwin Joseph | Ole Miss | S | Out; Ole Miss lists eight players out |
| Terez Davis | Ole Miss | OL | Questionable |
| Kewan Lacy | Ole Miss | RB, lower body in warmups Oct 17 | Not listed on the Friday report |
Ole Miss vs Texas head-to-head
Ole Miss and Texas have met only eight times, and Texas leads the series 6-2 (6-1 counting Ole Miss's vacated 2013 win). This is their first meeting since 2013 and their first as SEC opponents.
| Date | Winner | Score | Site |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Ole Miss (later vacated) | 44-23 | Austin |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Texas | 66-31 | Oxford |
| Dec 17, 1966 | Texas | 19-0 | Bluebonnet Bowl, Houston |
| Jan 1, 1962 | Texas | 12-7 | Cotton Bowl, Dallas |
| Jan 1, 1958 | Ole Miss | 39-7 | Sugar Bowl, New Orleans |