Arizona State vs Texas Tech Prediction and Odds: Week 7 2026

No. 10 Texas Tech is a 15.5-point favorite over Arizona State at all seven major books as of Friday night, October 16, 2026, up from 13.5 at the open, with the total at 50.5 at most books. Turn the DraftKings numbers into a score and the betting market's Arizona State vs Texas Tech prediction is Texas Tech 33, Arizona State 17.5. The Red Raiders are 5-0; the Sun Devils are 3-2 and handed Texas Tech its only regular-season loss of 2025.

Arizona State vs Texas Tech odds at every book

Here is the board for Arizona State at Texas Tech on Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET on FOX at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock, as of Friday night, October 16, 2026, from SportsbookReview's odds screen and checked against ScoresAndOdds. Texas Tech opened -13.5 and has been bet two points higher, and BetRivers has now joined the other six books at -15.5. The total is 50.5 at bet365, DraftKings, FanDuel and BetRivers, 50 at Fanatics and Caesars, and 49.5 at BetMGM. BetMGM, bet365, Fanatics and BetRivers share the longest Arizona State moneyline at +525. Compare books on our sportsbooks page.

The two-point move came during Texas Tech's bye week. Every book now hangs the same 15.5, so the shopping is in the price: BetMGM and Caesars charge -108 to lay it, against -113 at BetRivers.

Arizona State vs Texas Tech prediction from the betting odds

The market sees a comfortable Texas Tech win. The Red Raiders have outscored opponents 174-81 and allow 16.2 points per game; Arizona State gave up 48 points at Texas A&M and 55 to Baylor in its two losses.

How Arizona State and Texas Tech got here

Texas Tech is 5-0 for the second straight season, a first in program history, and comes off a bye after a 29-7 win at Colorado in which it intercepted four passes and scored 19 points off them, even though Colorado outgained it 375-315. Arizona State is 3-2 and 1-1 in the Big 12, beat Kansas in London and Hawaii at home, and lost to Texas A&M and Baylor by a combined 64 points. After the Baylor loss, Kenny Dillingham handed play-calling back to offensive coordinator Marcus Arroyo.

Texas Tech: Will Hammond and a ball-hawking defense

Will Hammond has completed 68.3% of his passes for 1,102 yards with five touchdowns and five interceptions. Thomas Castellanos, the transfer quarterback who missed the Colorado game after an early-October court ruling, had his eligibility restored by a Kentucky judge on Friday and is available against Arizona State, though Hammond remains the starter. Running back Cam Dickey has a high ankle sprain and Joey McGuire said he is probably back after the Cincinnati game on October 24, and he is listed out for this one, leaving J'Koby Williams and Quinten Joyner to carry the load.

Arizona State: Cutter Boley and the run game

Kentucky transfer Cutter Boley has thrown for 1,229 yards with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions. Freshman running back Cardae Mack ran 13 times for 154 yards and two touchdowns against Hawaii, the most rushing yards by an Arizona State freshman since 2005, per the Associated Press.

Arizona State vs Texas Tech injury report

Texas Tech's availability report lists running back Cam Dickey (high ankle sprain), receiver Donte Lee Jr., cornerback S'Vioarean Martin, safety Maddox Quiller and offensive lineman Elias Gillen as out. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos was questionable while his eligibility case was pending, and a Kentucky court restored his eligibility on Friday, October 16, so he is available as Will Hammond's backup. Arizona State gets guard Wade Helton (leg) and center Tana Alo-Tupuola back on the line. Status as of Friday night, October 16; check again before kickoff.

Arizona State vs Texas Tech head-to-head

The series is tied 3-3, per Texas Tech. Arizona State won the last meeting, 26-22 in Tempe on October 18, 2025, scoring on a 1-yard run with 34 seconds left to hand Texas Tech its only regular-season loss of that season.

Arizona State vs Texas Tech questions