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Ravens vs Bills Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks and Preview

Ravens vs Bills Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks and Preview

Buffalo is favored by 3.5 points over Baltimore as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET, with a total of 54 to 54.5. The market implies a final of Bills 29, Ravens 26. Ravens (4-3) at Bills (5-1) kicks off Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET on CBS from New Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY.

Where the line stands
Bills -3.5, total 54.5 at FanDuel. Implied score Bills 29, Ravens 26 (29-25.5 at -3.5 and 54.5, the highest total of the week). No-vig win probability from the FanDuel moneyline: Ravens 39.7%, Bills 60.3%. We have no lean on this game; the reasons are in the box below the injury report.
Bills -3.5
Spread (FanDuel)
Opened Bills -3
54.5
Total
Opened 53.5
60.3%
Bills win probability
Vig removed, FanDuel
29-26
Implied final
Bills 29, Ravens 26

Ravens vs Bills odds at every book

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETCBS
4-3Ravens
Away
@
5-1Bills
Home · New Highmark Stadium
Spread
Bills -3.5
Opened Bills -3
Moneyline
Ravens +142 / Bills -168
FanDuel
Total
54.5
Range 54 to 54.5
Ravens 39.7%Win probability, vig removedBills 60.3%
All seven books are at Bills -3.5, but the price on Baltimore +3.5 runs from -120 at Fanatics to -135 at Caesars, a 15-cent gap worth shopping. BetMGM is the only book at 54 on the total.
Ravens vs Bills odds at seven books, as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET
BookRavens spreadMoneyline (Ravens / Bills)Total
BetMGM+3.5 (-130)+138 / -16554
bet365+3.5 (-126)+148 / -17654.5
DraftKings+3.5 (-134)+142 / -17054.5
FanDuel+3.5 (-132)+142 / -16854.5
Fanatics+3.5 (-120)+145 / -17554.5
BetRivers+3.5 (-125)+140 / -17554.5
Caesars+3.5 (-135)+145 / -17354.5

Lines are from SportsbookReview's NFL odds board and cross-checked against VegasInsider's Week 8 odds page (updated October 28 at 11:06 PM) and SI's opening-odds roundup, which agree on the favorite in every game. Buffalo opened at -3 (+100 on the Ravens side) on SportsbookReview and SI listed FanDuel's opener at -3.5. The number is -3.5 everywhere now with the Ravens side juiced to -120 to -135, so the market has pushed through the key number of 3 and is leaning on the price rather than moving to 4. The total opened at 53.5 and is 54.5 at six of seven books. SportsbookReview's consensus shows 71% of spread bets on Buffalo. Our free plays for the week are posted on the free picks page.

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Ravens vs Bills prediction from the odds

1
Start with the total: 54.5
The total is the market's estimate of combined points. Ravens average 24.1 a game and allow 23.9; Bills average 32.8 and allow 28.5.
2
Add the spread to the favorite
Favorite = (total + spread) / 2. At 54.5 and 3.5, Bills project to 29.0 points.
3
Subtract for the underdog
Underdog = (total minus spread) / 2, which puts Ravens at 25.5. Rounded, the market says Bills 29, Ravens 26.
4
Check it against the moneyline
Removing the vig from FanDuel's +142 / -168 gives Ravens 39.7% and Bills 60.3%, which is consistent with a 3.5-point spread.

Our scoring-average projection is Bills 29.5, Ravens 25, Buffalo by 4.5 with a 54.7 total. The Prediction Tracker median has Buffalo by 5.6 (standard deviation 2.7, tight agreement) with a 56% cover probability, and Massey has Buffalo 29-24, by 4.5. Our number, the tracker and Massey all sit 1 to 2 points above the market on the Bills side.

How the Ravens and Bills got here

Baltimore has lost two straight without Jackson, scoring 23 points combined, and sits fourth in an AFC North where every team is above .500. Buffalo is 5-1 with five wins by 10 points or fewer and a bye to heal. The Bills are 4-2 against the spread and the Ravens 2-5, per SI.

Baltimore Ravens 2026 results (4-3)
WkDateOpponentResult
1Sep 13at IndianapolisW 41-23
2Sep 20vs New OrleansL 24-17
3Sep 27at DallasW 34-31
4Oct 4vs TennesseeW 24-18
5Oct 11at AtlantaW 30-23 (OT)
6Oct 18at ClevelandL 13-10
7Oct 25vs CincinnatiL 35-13
Buffalo Bills 2026 results (5-1)
WkDateOpponentResult
1Sep 13at HoustonW 36-31
2Sep 17vs DetroitW 41-31
3Sep 27vs L.A. ChargersW 24-16
4Oct 4vs New EnglandL 29-26
5Oct 12at L.A. RamsW 37-34 (OT)
6Oct 18at Las VegasW 33-30
7Bye
24.1
Ravens points per game
Allow 23.9
32.8
Bills points per game
Allow 28.5

Lamar Jackson vs Josh Allen, if Jackson plays

Lamar Jackson has not finished a game since Week 4. He left the Titans win at halftime with an ankle injury, missed the next three games, and practiced in full Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. He carries no designation on the final report, and head coach Jesse Minter said Friday that he will start (Ravens team site and Ravens Wire, October 30). Jackson said the ankle still has some pain but that it is bearable. The Ravens averaged 395 yards of offense in his starts and scored 13 and 10 points in the two losses without him.

Josh Allen is not on Buffalo's report. The Bills come off their Week 7 bye at 5-1, with the one loss a 29-26 home defeat to New England, and they have scored 33 or more in four of six games. The 54.5 total is the market saying both offenses will be whole, and with Jackson cleared, they are.

Ravens vs Bills injury report

Statuses are from the final Week 8 injury reports released Friday, October 30, 2026, per the Ravens' team site, Ravens Wire and the Bills' team site. Baltimore ruled out two starters, right guard Vega Ioane and safety Jaylinn Hawkins, and cleared its quarterback; Buffalo has five players questionable and gets Ed Oliver back for the first time since Week 4. Inactives drop 90 minutes before the 1:00 PM kickoff.

Ravens injury report
PlayerPosStatusSource, date
Lamar JacksonQBNo designation; full participation Wednesday through Friday; startsRavens team site, Oct 30
Vega IoaneGOut (knee)Ravens team site, Oct 30
Jaylinn HawkinsSOut (knee)Ravens Wire, Oct 30
Kyle HamiltonSFull participation Friday after a limited Thursday; no designationRavens Wire, Oct 30
Roquan SmithLBFull participation Friday; no designationRavens Wire, Oct 30
Ronnie StanleyLTDid not practice Friday (scheduled rest); no designationRavens Wire, Oct 30
John SimpsonGFull participation Friday (groin); no designationRavens Wire, Oct 30
Mark AndrewsTEFull participation; no designationRavens Wire, Oct 30
Bills injury report
PlayerPosStatusSource, date
DJ MooreWRQuestionable (shoulder)Bills team site, Oct 30
Dalton KincaidTEQuestionable (chest)Bills team site, Oct 30
Dee AlfordCBQuestionable (ankle)Bills team site, Oct 30
Greg GainesDLQuestionableBills team site, Oct 30
Spencer BrownRTQuestionable (back)Bills team site, Oct 30
Ed OliverDTNo designation; expected to play, first game since Week 4Bills team site, Oct 30
Josh AllenQBNot listedBills team site, Oct 30
Our lean: no lean
No lean on Ravens @ Bills. Lamar Jackson is cleared, so the quarterback question is settled, and our number (Bills by 4.5), the Prediction Tracker median (Bills by 5.6) and Massey (Bills by 4.5) all sit on Buffalo's side of 3.5. The cushion is 1 to 2 points, under the 4 we want for a pick and thin for a lean on a quarterback in his first game back after a month out, and since the clearance the price has moved toward Baltimore (Ravens +3.5 now -125 to -135, Bills -3.5 at even money or better) while about 70 percent of spread tickets sit on Buffalo. Money against our side with that little cushion is a pass. Our free plays for the day are on the free picks page, and the full Week 8 board is in our NFL Week 8 preview. We may also have a premium play on this game. A lean here is our editorial read of the market and can differ from the premium pick. This read is a free editorial read and is not counted in our official win/loss record.

Other Week 8 games we broke down: Eagles vs Commanders, Bears vs Seahawks, Vikings vs Lions, Chiefs vs Broncos.

Ravens vs Bills questions people ask

Who is favored in Ravens vs Bills?+
Buffalo is favored by 3.5 points at all seven books on SportsbookReview as of October 29, 2026, with the Ravens side priced -120 to -135. The moneyline is Bills -165 to -176, Ravens +138 to +148.
What is the Ravens vs Bills prediction?+
The market implies Bills 29, Ravens 26 at -3.5 and 54.5. Our own projection is Bills 29-25, and the Prediction Tracker and Massey both have Buffalo by 4.5 to 5.6, but we post no lean: the cushion over 3.5 is only 1 to 2 points, and the price moved toward Baltimore once Jackson was cleared.
What is the total for Ravens vs Bills?+
The total is 54.5 at six of seven books (54 at BetMGM) as of October 29, 2026, the highest total of Week 8. It opened at 53.5.
What time is Ravens vs Bills and what channel is it on?+
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 1, 2026, on CBS, from New Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York.
Is Lamar Jackson playing against the Bills?+
Yes. Jackson practiced in full Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, carries no injury designation on the final report, and head coach Jesse Minter said Friday that he will start after missing three games with an ankle injury.
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