Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks and Preview
Kansas City is favored by 1.5 points over Denver as of Thursday, October 29, 2026, 9:45 PM ET, with a total of 40.5. The market implies a final of Chiefs 21, Broncos 20. Chiefs (5-1) at Broncos (5-2) kicks off Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET on CBS from Empower Field at Mile High, Denver.
Chiefs vs Broncos odds at every book
| Book | Chiefs spread | Moneyline (Chiefs / Broncos) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -1.5 (-108) | -120 / +100 | 40.5 |
| bet365 | -1.5 (-106) | -119 / -101 | 40.5 |
| DraftKings | -1.5 (-105) | -118 / -102 | 40.5 |
| FanDuel | -1.5 (-108) | -118 / +100 | 40.5 |
| Fanatics | -1.5 (-105) | -120 / +100 | 40.5 |
| BetRivers | Not posted | -124 / +102 | 40.5 |
| Caesars | -1.5 (-109) | -122 / +103 | 40.5 |
Lines are from SportsbookReview's NFL odds board and cross-checked against VegasInsider's Week 8 odds page (updated October 28 at 11:06 PM) and SI's opening-odds roundup, which agree on the favorite in every game. The Chiefs opened at -2 on SportsbookReview and SI listed FanDuel's opener at -1.5. The number is -1.5 everywhere now, so the week's move is half a point toward Denver, and the total dropped a full point from 41.5 to 40.5 after Kansas City scored 3 at Seattle. Action Network shows 54% of spread tickets on the Chiefs and SportsbookReview's consensus 44% Chiefs, 56% Broncos; the two sources disagree on the public side, so we do not read a money signal here. Our free plays for the week are posted on the free picks page.
Chiefs vs Broncos prediction from the odds
Our scoring-average projection is Chiefs 20.7, Broncos 20.1, Kansas City by half a point with a 40.9 total, which is almost exactly the market. The Prediction Tracker median has Denver by 0.7 (standard deviation 2.9) and Massey has Denver 23-20, by 2.5. The models lean Denver, our number does not, and nothing clears a lean bar in either direction.
How the Chiefs and Broncos got here
Kansas City won its first five by an average of 11 points, then scored 3 in Seattle. Denver has won four in a row by 4, 6, 3 and 14 points, and the only common opponent so far is Seattle: the Chiefs lost there 20-3, the Broncos beat the Seahawks 17-14 in overtime at home. A Denver win puts both teams at 5-2 with the Broncos holding the head-to-head split.
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 14 | vs Denver | W 31-10 |
| 2 | Sep 20 | vs Indianapolis | W 33-30 (OT) |
| 3 | Sep 27 | at Miami | W 24-10 |
| 4 | Oct 4 | at Las Vegas | W 30-27 |
| 5 | Bye | ||
| 6 | Oct 18 | vs L.A. Chargers | W 22-6 |
| 7 | Oct 25 | at Seattle | L 20-3 |
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 14 | at Kansas City | L 31-10 |
| 2 | Sep 20 | vs Jacksonville | W 20-13 |
| 3 | Sep 27 | vs L.A. Rams | W 30-26 |
| 4 | Oct 4 | at San Francisco | L 24-14 |
| 5 | Oct 11 | at L.A. Chargers | W 23-17 |
| 6 | Oct 15 | vs Seattle | W 17-14 (OT) |
| 7 | Oct 25 | at Arizona | W 30-16 |
Patrick Mahomes vs Bo Nix, the Week 1 rematch
Patrick Mahomes practiced in full all week and carries no designation, a week after the Chiefs managed 3 points in Seattle, their first loss. Kansas City beat Denver 31-10 at Arrowhead in the Week 1 opener and has allowed 17.2 points a game, second-best among these ten teams. Rashee Rice and L'Jarius Sneed both finished the week with no designation; Nick Bolton is out after wrist surgery.
Bo Nix is not on Denver's report. The Broncos have won four straight since the loss at San Francisco, including a 17-14 overtime win over Seattle and a 30-16 win at Arizona, and they are 5-2 with a 144-141 scoring margin, which is why the models rate them closer to Kansas City than the record gap suggests. Jaylen Waddle, Zach Allen and Talanoa Hufanga sat out Wednesday and all three finished the week with no designation.
Chiefs vs Broncos injury report
Statuses are from the final Week 8 injury reports released Friday, October 30, 2026, per the Chiefs' team site, Mile High Huddle and Broncos Wire. Each team ruled out or flagged one player: Kansas City is without linebacker Nick Bolton after wrist surgery, and Denver lists only receiver Brandon Johnson as questionable. Jaylen Waddle, Zach Allen and Talanoa Hufanga, who sat out Wednesday, finished the week with no designation, and so did Rashee Rice and L'Jarius Sneed for Kansas City.
| Player | Pos | Status | Source, date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | Full participation; no designation (knee) | Chiefs team site, Oct 30 |
| Nick Bolton | LB | Out (wrist surgery) | Chiefs team site, Oct 30 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | No designation; returned to practice this week (hamstring, knee) | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| L'Jarius Sneed | CB | No designation; practiced Friday (knee) | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| Travis Kelce | TE | No designation (ankle) | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| Omarr Norman-Lott | DT | No designation (knee) | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| Player | Pos | Status | Source, date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nix | QB | Not on the report | Broncos Wire, Oct 30 |
| Brandon Johnson | WR | Questionable (hamstring); did not practice Friday | Broncos Wire, Oct 30 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | No designation (chest); sat out Wednesday | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| Zach Allen | DE | No designation (hamstring); sat out Wednesday | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| Talanoa Hufanga | S | No designation (ankle); sat out Wednesday | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
| Garett Bolles | LT | No designation; full participation Friday (hip) | Broncos Wire, Oct 30 |
| Pat Surtain II | CB | No designation (ankle) | Mile High Huddle, Oct 30 |
Other Week 8 games we broke down: Eagles vs Commanders, Bears vs Seahawks, Ravens vs Bills, Vikings vs Lions.