Jets vs Patriots Prediction and Odds: Week 6 2026
The New England Patriots are 7.5-point favorites over the New York Jets at Gillette Stadium in Week 6 at every major book as of Friday night, October 16, 2026, with the total at 43.5. Turn those numbers into a score and the betting market's Jets vs Patriots prediction is New England 25.5, New York 18. Friday's reports ruled out Jets running back Breece Hall again and left A.J. Brown questionable for New England. The Patriots have won three straight in the series, and the Jets are 2-18 in their last 20 games in Foxborough.
Jets vs Patriots odds at every book
Here is the board for the New York Jets at the New England Patriots on Sunday, October 18, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET on CBS, as of Friday night, October 16, 2026, from SportsbookReview's odds screen and checked against ScoresAndOdds. New England opened a 7-point favorite and is 7.5 at all seven books now. The total is 43.5 at six books and 43 at Fanatics. Jets bettors get the best moneyline at FanDuel (+280). Compare books on our sportsbooks page.
| Book | Spread | Moneyline (NYJ / NE) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | Patriots -7.5 (-102) | +275 / -350 | 43.5 |
| bet365 | Patriots -7.5 (-103) | +275 / -350 | 43.5 |
| DraftKings | Patriots -7.5 (-105) | +275 / -345 | 43.5 |
| FanDuel | Patriots -7.5 (-102) | +280 / -350 | 43.5 |
| Fanatics | Patriots -7.5 (+100) | +275 / -350 | 43 |
| BetRivers | Patriots -7.5 (-105) | +275 / -360 | 43.5 |
| Caesars | Patriots -7.5 (-106) | +275 / -345 | 43.5 |
The half point matters more here than in most games. Seven is the second most common final margin in the NFL, so a one-touchdown Patriots win covers for Jets +7.5 but would have been a push at the 7 opener. The cheapest prices on the Patriots side are near even money (-102 at BetMGM and FanDuel, +100 at Fanatics), which tells you the books are leaning toward 7.5 holding rather than moving to 8.
Jets vs Patriots prediction from the betting odds
The market expects a Patriots win by about a touchdown in a lower-scoring game. That fits the season numbers: the Jets average 18.6 points per game, 27th-tied in the league, while their defense allows 19.2. New England has allowed 18.8 per game and is coming off a season-high 45 points against Las Vegas.
How the Jets and Patriots got here
New England is 3-2 and has won two straight, 29-26 at Buffalo and 45-17 over Las Vegas, when Drake Maye threw four touchdown passes and ran for another. The Jets are 2-3 and snapped a three-game losing streak by beating Cleveland 17-12 in the rain, with eight sacks of Deshaun Watson, three of them by rookie David Bailey, and a 22-yard go-ahead touchdown run by Braelon Allen with 3:01 left.
| Week | Jets | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 23-10 at Titans | L 10-13 at Seahawks |
| 2 | L 17-20 (OT) vs Packers | W 20-3 vs Steelers |
| 3 | L 24-31 at Lions | L 6-35 at Jaguars |
| 4 | L 12-23 at Bears | W 29-26 at Bills |
| 5 | W 17-12 vs Browns | W 45-17 vs Raiders |
New York: Geno Smith and a pass rush
Geno Smith has completed 69.4% of his passes for 1,084 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions, but he has been sacked 16 times. The Jets' strength is the defense: 17 sacks, a +3 turnover margin and 19.2 points allowed per game, fifth in the NFL, per Pro Football Reference.
New England: Maye's two-game run
Drake Maye has thrown for 1,228 yards with eight touchdowns and seven interceptions, and he has run for 161 yards and a score. Six of those interceptions came in the first three weeks; he has seven touchdown passes and one interception in the last two games. His right shoulder has been on the injury report for three weeks, but he was a full participant on Wednesday and Thursday.
Jets vs Patriots injury report
From the official Friday, October 16 injury reports, confirmed by Patriots.com, NewYorkJets.com and CBS Sports. Jets running back Breece Hall (quad) is out for a third straight game. For New England, receiver A.J. Brown (ankle) is questionable: he has to be activated from injured reserve by 4 PM ET Saturday to play, and Mike Vrabel said the call comes Saturday. Running back TreVeyon Henderson (ankle) and left tackle Will Campbell (knee) are also questionable, and cornerback Christian Gonzalez came off the report and is expected to play.
| Player | Team | Pos | Friday status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall | NYJ | RB | Out (quad) |
| Adonai Mitchell | NYJ | WR | Out (finger) |
| Joseph Ossai | NYJ | EDGE | Out (ankle) |
| Dylan Parham | NYJ | OL | Out (knee) |
| Dane Belton | NYJ | S | Questionable (knee) |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | NYJ | WR | Questionable (ankle) |
| Kenyon Sadiq | NYJ | TE | Questionable (concussion) |
| A.J. Brown | NE | WR | Questionable (ankle) |
| TreVeyon Henderson | NE | RB | Questionable (ankle) |
| Will Campbell | NE | LT | Questionable (knee) |
| Carlton Davis III | NE | CB | Out (neck) |
| Karon Prunty | NE | CB | Out (hamstring) |
| Christian Gonzalez | NE | CB | Off the report, expected to play |
Jets vs Patriots head-to-head
New England leads the all-time series 77-56-1, including playoffs, and swept the Jets in 2025 by a combined 69-24. The Jets won two straight in the series in 2024 before that.
| Date | Site | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | East Rutherford | Patriots 42, Jets 10 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Foxborough | Patriots 27, Jets 14 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Foxborough | Patriots 25, Jets 22 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | East Rutherford | Jets 24, Patriots 3 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Foxborough | Jets 17, Patriots 3 |