NBA Win Totals 2026-27: Spurs 59.5 Lead, Grizzlies Up 10, Thunder Down 8
The San Antonio Spurs have the highest NBA win total for 2026-27 at 59.5, as of Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 10:30 AM ET, with the Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder tied at 54.5 and the Boston Celtics at 53.5 to 54.5, the top number in the East. The Sacramento Kings are lowest at 19.5.
Two weeks into the season the board has been repriced hard: the 6-1 Memphis Grizzlies are up 10 wins from their preseason number, the 1-6 Utah Jazz are down 9, and the Thunder have lost 8 wins since Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace were hurt.
Here are the full-season over/under win totals for all 30 teams at four sportsbooks, the moves since opening night, each team's 82-game pace, and what Kalshi's win-total ladders say.
These are full-season numbers, not remaining-game totals: a bet on Memphis over 39.5 needs the Grizzlies to finish 40-42 or better including the six wins already banked. The books have moved fast on seven and eight games of evidence. Houston and Philadelphia are both 7-1, and their totals are up 7 and 2.
Memphis, Portland and Detroit have one loss each and are up 10, 7 and 2. At the other end, Utah, Phoenix, Miami, Chicago and Indiana have combined for seven wins in 34 games and have lost 25 wins of total between them.
NBA win totals 2026-27 for all 30 teams
The win total is the middle number across bet365, BetMGM, Caesars and FanDuel on VegasInsider's live board as of November 4, 2026. Where books disagree, the range shows the lowest and highest number posted; where the two posted numbers straddle (Boston at 53.5 and 54.5, Golden State at 38.5 and 39.5) the win total is shown as the midpoint.
DraftKings and Hard Rock had not posted full boards and were left out. The "Oct 11" column is our preseason number from the same board nine days before opening night, so "Move" shows how far each team has been repriced in three and a half weeks.
The Kalshi column is the win count where Kalshi's ladder of "X or more wins" contracts crosses 50%, read on Wednesday morning. Records are through November 3 from the CBS Sports standings. If you prefer game-by-game markets, our guide to NBA player props covers points, rebounds and assists lines.
| Team | Rec | Win total | Range | Oct 11 | Move | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 5-2 | 59.5 | 59.5 everywhere | 60.5 | Down 1 | 60.5 |
| Houston Rockets | 7-1 | 54.5 | 53.5 to 54.5 | 47.5 | Up 7 | 56.4 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 5-2 | 54.5 | 54.5 to 55.5 | 62.5 | Down 8 | 53.9 |
| Boston Celtics | 5-2 | 54 | 53.5 to 54.5 | 51.5 | Up 2.5 | 53.9 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 7-1 | 52.5 | 51.5 to 52.5 | 50.5 | Up 2 | 54.8 |
| Detroit Pistons | 6-1 | 51.5 | 51.5 to 52.5 | 49.5 | Up 2 | 53.1 |
| New York Knicks | 3-4 | 49.5 | 49.5 everywhere | 52.5 | Down 3 | 50.6 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 5-1 | 48.5 | 47.5 to 48.5 | 41.5 | Up 7 | 48.3 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 6-2 | 48.5 | 48.5 everywhere | 45.5 | Up 3 | 50.7 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 4-3 | 48.5 | 48.5 everywhere | 48.5 | Same | 48.1 |
| Denver Nuggets | 3-3 | 48.5 | 48.5 everywhere | 48.5 | Same | 47.6 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 5-3 | 47.5 | 46.5 to 47.5 | 48.5 | Down 1 | 47.9 |
| Toronto Raptors | 4-3 | 47.5 | 47.5 everywhere | 46.5 | Up 1 | 47.7 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 4-4 | 43.5 | 43.5 everywhere | 43.5 | Same | 44 |
| Miami Heat | 2-5 | 42.5 | 42.5 everywhere | 46.5 | Down 4 | 42.9 |
| Orlando Magic | 2-5 | 40.5 | 40.5 everywhere | 43.5 | Down 3 | 40.3 |
| Indiana Pacers | 2-6 | 40.5 | 40.5 everywhere | 43.5 | Down 3 | 38.9 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 6-1 | 39.5 | 38.5 to 40.5 | 29.5 | Up 10 | 40.5 |
| Golden State Warriors | 5-3 | 39 | 38.5 to 39.5 | 38 | Up 1 | 40.2 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 4-3 | 37.5 | 37.5 everywhere | 33.5 | Up 4 | 39.1 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 3-5 | 37.5 | 37.5 everywhere | 39.5 | Down 2 | 35.8 |
| Phoenix Suns | 1-4 | 35.5 | 35.5 everywhere | 40.5 | Down 5 | 35.5 |
| Washington Wizards | 4-3 | 32.5 | 32.5 everywhere | 34.5 | Down 2 | 35.9 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 3-4 | 29.5 | 29.5 everywhere | 28.5 | Up 1 | 31.7 |
| Utah Jazz | 1-6 | 28.5 | 28.5 to 29.5 | 37.5 | Down 9 | 28.6 |
| LA Clippers | 1-6 | 27.5 | 27.5 everywhere | 28.5 | Down 1 | 27.7 |
| Chicago Bulls | 1-6 | 25.5 | 25.5 everywhere | 29.5 | Down 4 | 26.7 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 1-6 | 23.5 | 23.5 to 24.5 | 25.5 | Down 2 | 23.2 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 1-6 | 23.5 | 23.5 everywhere | 24.5 | Down 1 | 23.5 |
| Sacramento Kings | 1-6 | 19.5 | 19.5 everywhere | 20.5 | Down 1 | 20.7 |
Biggest NBA win total moves since opening night
Thirteen teams have moved at least three wins since our October 11 board. Memphis is the biggest mover in either direction: 29.5 before the season, 39.5 now, after a 6-1 start that also took the Grizzlies from +75,000 to +15,000 on our NBA championship odds page. Utah has gone the other way, from 37.5 to 28.5 at 1-6.
Oklahoma City is the one big move that is about health rather than results: the Thunder are 5-2, but Williams (fractured fibula and dislocated ankle) and Wallace (torn labrum) were both hurt on October 25 and both need surgery, and the books took eight wins off a number that was the highest in the league.
| Team | Rec | Oct 11 | Nov 4 | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies | 6-1 | 29.5 | 39.5 | +10 |
| Utah Jazz | 1-6 | 37.5 | 28.5 | -9 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 5-2 | 62.5 | 54.5 | -8 |
| Houston Rockets | 7-1 | 47.5 | 54.5 | +7 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 5-1 | 41.5 | 48.5 | +7 |
| Phoenix Suns | 1-4 | 40.5 | 35.5 | -5 |
| Miami Heat | 2-5 | 46.5 | 42.5 | -4 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 4-3 | 33.5 | 37.5 | +4 |
| Chicago Bulls | 1-6 | 29.5 | 25.5 | -4 |
| New York Knicks | 3-4 | 52.5 | 49.5 | -3 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 6-2 | 45.5 | 48.5 | +3 |
| Orlando Magic | 2-5 | 43.5 | 40.5 | -3 |
| Indiana Pacers | 2-6 | 43.5 | 40.5 | -3 |
Houston and Portland are each up seven. The Rockets were 47.5 in October, tenth on the board, and are now tied for second at 54.5 after a 7-1 start. The Blazers were 41.5 and are 48.5, level with the Lakers, Cavaliers and Nuggets, at 5-1. Dallas is up four to 37.5 at 4-3.
The Knicks have lost three wins, 52.5 to 49.5 at 3-4, though they are still the fourth-highest number in the East and the defending champions, and Miami has lost four, 46.5 to 42.5 at 2-5.
Pace vs. the number: how much the books trust seven games
Multiply a record out to 82 games and the gaps are enormous: Memphis is on a 70-win pace against a 39.5 total, Philadelphia and Houston on 72-win paces against 52.5 and 54.5, Portland on a 68-win pace against 48.5.
At the other end Indiana is on a 20-win pace against 40.5, Phoenix on a 16-win pace against 35.5, and Miami and Orlando on 23-win paces against 42.5 and 40.5. The books are not ignoring the starts, they are weighting them.
A 6-1 team has 75 games left, and the market still expects it to play roughly .500 to .550 basketball from here, so a hot week moves the full-season number by two or three wins, not twenty. Washington is the interesting row: 4-3, on a 47-win pace, and the total went down two to 32.5.
The books priced the Wizards' early wins as schedule, and Kalshi disagrees, at 35.9.
Where the NBA win total prices lean
The number tells you half the story; the price on each side tells you the rest. When the over is -125 and the under is +100, the book is already leaning over at that number and would rather move the price than the half-win.
Detroit, Utah, New York, Memphis and New Orleans all carry the shortest over prices on the board, which means the next move on those totals is more likely up than down. Denver is the clearest under lean: 48.5 with the over at +115 at Caesars and +100 at bet365 and BetMGM, for a 3-3 team.
Sacramento's 19.5 is +100 on the over at two books, which is as close as a book comes to saying 19 is the number. Atlanta is split, -130 on the over at bet365 and -105 to -110 everywhere else, and Cleveland and Oklahoma City sit close to even at -105 to +100.
Kalshi vs. the sportsbooks: where they disagree
Kalshi's NBA win total markets work differently from a sportsbook total. Each team has a ladder of yes-or-no contracts, "25 or more wins", "30 or more wins" and so on in steps of five, and each trades between 1 and 99 cents.
We read the ladder on Wednesday morning, November 4, 2026, and found the point where the yes price crosses 50 cents, which is the market's median win count. Across 30 teams, Kalshi and the books are within one win of each other on 17 and within two on 26. The gaps are the interesting part.
Kalshi has Washington at 35.9 against a 32.5 total, Philadelphia at 54.8 against 52.5 and the Lakers at 50.7 against 48.5. It is lower than the books on Charlotte (35.8 against 37.5) and Indiana (38.9 against 40.5).
When a prediction market and four sportsbooks disagree by two or three wins, the side the sportsbooks are cheaper on is the one worth checking first. Our guide explains how to read Kalshi odds.
| Team | Books | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Wizards | 32.5 | 35.9 | +3.4 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 52.5 | 54.8 | +2.3 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 48.5 | 50.7 | +2.2 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 29.5 | 31.7 | +2.2 |
| Houston Rockets | 54.5 | 56.4 | +1.9 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 37.5 | 35.8 | -1.7 |
| Detroit Pistons | 51.5 | 53.1 | +1.6 |
| Indiana Pacers | 40.5 | 38.9 | -1.6 |
Eastern and Western Conference win totals
East: 613 wins across 15 teams
Boston (53.5 to 54.5), Philadelphia (52.5), Detroit (51.5 to 52.5) and New York (49.5) are the four East teams above 49. Cleveland and Toronto sit at 48.5 and 47.5, then there is a four-win drop to Atlanta at 43.5 and Miami at 42.5.
Orlando and Indiana are 40.5, Charlotte 37.5, Washington 32.5, and the bottom three, Chicago (25.5), Milwaukee (23.5) and Brooklyn (23.5), are all 1-6 and have combined to lose seven wins of total since October.
West: 618 wins across 15 teams
San Antonio's 59.5 is five clear of Houston and Oklahoma City at 54.5. Portland, the Lakers and Denver are bunched at 48.5 with Minnesota at 47.5, then Memphis (39.5), Golden State (38.5 to 39.5) and Dallas (37.5) form the middle.
Phoenix has fallen to 35.5, New Orleans is 29.5, and Utah (28.5), the Clippers (27.5) and Sacramento (19.5) are the three lowest numbers in the league. The West has the lowest total in the league and three of the top four.
How NBA win total bets work
An NBA win total is an over/under on a team's regular-season win count across all 82 games. Bet the Spurs over 59.5 and you need 60 wins; under 59.5 needs 59 or fewer. The bet grades when the regular season ends in April, and play-in or playoff games do not count.
Because these are full-season numbers, games already played count toward the total, so a team's current record is part of the math when you bet mid-season. Prices are usually near -110 each way; when one side gets to -125 or shorter, the book is telling you which way it expects the number to move.
For the title market, see our NBA championship odds. For the weekly order of all 30 teams, our NBA power rankings. For the awards, our NBA MVP odds and Rookie of the Year odds.